Umnotho wase-UK uthinteke kakhulu ngenxa yokwehla kwamandla emali aphezulu kanye nemiphumela ye-Brexit. Ezinyangeni ezedlule, amanani entengo anyukile, okuholele ekutheni abantu abaningi bagweme ukuchitha imali eningi bethenga izimpahla, okuholele ekutheni kunyuke izinga lokwebiwa kwezitolo ezinkulu. Ezinye izitolo ezinkulu sezize zasebenzisa ukuvala ibhotela ukuze zigweme ukwebiwa.
Umuntu osebenzisa inethiwekhi waseBrithani usanda kuthola ibhotela elivaliwe esitolo esikhulu saseLondon, okuqubule inkulumompikiswano ku-inthanethi. Ngokusho kwedatha yakamuva ekhishwe imboni yezokudla yase-UK ngoMashi 28, izinga lokukhuphuka kwamanani entengo yokudla ezweni ngoMashi likhuphuke lafinyelela ku-17.5%, namaqanda, ubisi noshizi phakathi kwentengo ekhula ngokushesha. Amazinga aphezulu e-inflation abangela ubuhlungu obengeziwe kubathengi abazabalaza nezindleko zenkinga yokuphila.
Ngemuva kweBrexit, i-UK ibhekene nokushoda kwabasebenzi, njengoba abasebenzi abangama-460,000 be-EU beshiya izwe. NgoJanuwari 2020, i-UK yashiya ngokusemthethweni i-EU, yethula uhlelo olusha lokuthuthela kwelinye izwe olusekelwe ngamaphuzu ukuze kuncishiswe abantu abavela kwamanye amazwe e-EU njengoba kwakuthenjisiwe abasekeli be-Brexit. Kodwa-ke, nakuba lolu hlelo olusha luphumelele ekwehliseni abantu abavela kwamanye amazwe e-EU, selufake namabhizinisi enkingeni yezabasebenzi, okwengeza ukungaqiniseki okwengeziwe emnothweni wase-UK osuvele uvilapha.
Njengengxenye yesibambiso esiyinhloko somkhankaso we-Brexit, i-UK yashintsha uhlelo lwayo lokuthuthela kwelinye izwe ukuze ikhawulele ukuthutheleka kwabasebenzi be-EU. Uhlelo olusha olusekelwe kumaphuzu, oluqaliswe ngoJanuwari 2021, luphatha izakhamizi ze-EU nezingezona eze-EU ngokulinganayo. Abafake izicelo baklonyeliswa ngamaphuzu ngokusekelwe kumakhono abo, iziqu, amazinga omholo, amakhono olimi, namathuba emisebenzi, futhi yilabo kuphela abanamaphuzu anele anikezwe imvume yokusebenza e-UK.
Abantu abanamakhono aphezulu njengososayensi, onjiniyela, nezifundiswa sebeyizisulu eziyinhloko zokufudukela e-UK. Kodwa-ke, kusukela ekusetshenzisweni kohlelo olusha lwamaphuzu, i-UK ihlangabezane nokushoda okukhulu kwabasebenzi. Umbiko wePhalamende lase-UK uveze ukuthi u-13.3% wamabhizinisi ahlolwa ngoNovemba 2022 abhekene nokushoda kwabasebenzi, indawo yokuhlala kanye nezinsiza zokudla ezibhekene nokushoda okuphezulu kakhulu ngama-35.5%, nokwakhiwa kwama-20.7%.
Ucwaningo olukhishwe yiCentre for European Reform ngoJanuwari lwembula ukuthi selokhu kwaqala ukusebenza uhlelo olusha lokuthuthela kwelinye izwe ngo-2021, inani labasebenzi be-EU e-UK lehle ngo-460,000 ngoJuni 2022.
Ngonyaka odlule, izinkampani ezingaphezu kuka-22,000 zase-UK zaqothuka, okuwukunyuka okungama-57% uma kuqhathaniswa nonyaka odlule. I-Financial Times ibike ukuthi ukwehla kwamandla emali nokwenyuka kwezinga lenzalo kwakuphakathi kwezinto ezibangela ukwanda kokushoda kwemali. Imikhakha yezokwakha, yokudayisa, neyokwamukela izihambi yase-UK ihlaselwe kakhulu wukwehla komnotho kanye nokwehla kokuzethemba kwabathengi.
Ngokusho kwe-International Monetary Fund (IMF), i-UK izoba ngesinye seminotho emikhulu esebenze kabi kakhulu ngo-2023. Imininingwane yokuqala evela eHhovisi lase-UK Lezibalo Zikazwelonke ibonise ukuthi i-GDP yezwe imile ngo-Q4 2022, ngokukhula konyaka ngo-4%. Isazi sezomnotho uSamuel Tombs wePantheon Macroeconomics uthe phakathi kwamazwe e-G7, i-UK ukuphela komnotho ongakabuyi ngokuphelele emazingeni angaphambi kobhubhane, uwela ngempumelelo ekuwohlokeni komnotho.
Abahlaziyi beDeloitte bakholelwa ukuthi umnotho wase-UK ubulokhu umile isikhathi eside, kanti i-GDP kulindeleke ukuthi inciphe ngo-2023. Umbiko wakamuva we-IMF we-World Economic Outlook, okhishwe ngo-Ephreli 11, ubikezela ukuthi umnotho wase-UK uzoncipha ngo-0.3% ngo-2023, okuwenza ube ngomunye weminotho emikhulu empofu kakhulu emhlabeni jikelele. Lo mbiko uphinde uphakamise ukuthi i-UK izoba nokusebenza okubi kakhulu kwezomnotho phakathi kwe-G7 kanye nenye yezimbi kakhulu ku-G20.
Umbiko ubikezela ukuthi umnotho womhlaba uzokhula ngama-2.8% ngo-2023, ukwehla ngamaphesenti angu-0.1 uma kuqhathaniswa nezibikezelo zangaphambilini. Izimakethe ezisafufusa nezomnotho ezisathuthuka kulindeleke ukuthi zikhule ngo-3.9% kulo nyaka kanye no-4.2% ngo-2024, kanti iminotho ethuthukile izokhula ngo-1.3% ngo-2023 kanye no-1.4% ngo-2024.
Imizabalazo ebhekene nomnotho wase-UK elandela i-Brexit naphakathi kwamazinga aphezulu okwehla kwamandla emali kukhombisa izinselelo zokuzihambela wedwa ngaphandle kwe-European Union. Njengoba izwe libhekene nokushoda kwezisebenzi, ukwanda kokushoda kwemali, nokukhula kancane komnotho, kuya ngokuya kucaca ukuthi umbono wase-UK wangemva kweBrexit ushaya izithiyo ezinkulu. Njengoba i-IMF ibikezela ukuthi i-UK izoba ngelinye lamazwe aneminotho emikhulu esebenza kabi kakhulu esikhathini esizayo esiseduze, izwe kufanele libhekane nalezi zinkinga ezicindezelayo ukuze liphinde liphumelele ukuncintisana futhi livuselele umnotho walo.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Apr-13-2023